ONLY THE SHADOW KNOWS...if Spring is Coming

   

 If you still believe in Santa Claus, the Tooth Fairy, or that Carolyn Keene (author of the Nancy Drew mysteries) exists, then you might not be ready for the dose of reality I’m about to administer. If you want to flip over to play a game of mahjongg while the rest of us discuss this, that’s OK by me.

     Those of you still with me, you might want to sit down. 

     Is everyone ready?  Then here we go.

  The groundhog who “predicts” if winter will end soon or drag on for another six weeks does NOT come out of his hibernation annually on February 2nd for that reason.  No, the male emerges from his hidey-hole to mate.  Yup, he’s had a nice long nap and now he’s looking for some fun. It’s that simple.

     So from whence did this vernal misconstruance come?

     According to the History.com, “Groundhog Day has its roots in the ancient Christian tradition of Candlemas Day, when clergy would bless and distribute candles needed for winter. The candles represented how long and cold the winter would be. Germans expanded on this concept by selecting an animal—the hedgehog—as a means of predicting weather. Once they came to America, German settlers in Pennsylvania continued the tradition, although they switched from hedgehogs to groundhogs, which were plentiful in the Keystone State.”

    February 2, 1887 is considered the first official Groundhog Day in the United States. It happened at Gobbler’s Knob in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania. Anyone who’s ever graduated 3rd grade is familiar with the lore…if the groundhog sees his shadow, it scares him and he scurries back to his den.  Six more weeks of winter ensues.  If, on the other hand, it’s a cloudy day, then no shadow, and the groundhog will stay above ground, signaling an early arrival of spring.  Yeah, it all depends on the weather the morning of February 2. Not exactly scientific.

     And here’s the other spoiler…the “official” rodent weather prognosticator, Punxsutawney Phil from Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, is only 39% accurate in his prediction.  That means he’s wrong more than he’s right.  But still, anytime he sticks around above ground we all break out the gardening tools and pour over the gardening catalogs in earnest, because Phil has proclaimed that spring has arrived!

Here in Southeastern Virginia, we take our cue from Chesapeake Chuck.  He is a groundhog (also known as a woodchuck or a whistle pig—so named for the way the animal whistles when frightened or looking for food) that resides at the Virginia Living Museum in Newport News, Virginia.  He will be prognosticating via a Facebook Live event at 11:30 a.m. on February 2, 2021.  

     But unlike Phil, ol’ Chuck has more than one trick in his grand top hat. In addition to predicting the weather, he also foretells the winner of the Super Bowl.  Two identical plates of nuts and berries are placed in front of posters of the two contenders.  In 2020, Chuck went straight for the Chiefs.  

You can be sure I’ll be checking on Chesapeake Chuck to see how accurate his predictions are. I’ll place a who-makes-dinner bet with my husband based on CC’s choice for the Super Bowl, and give serious consideration to his prediction on the early arrival (or not) of spring and whether it is time to start thinking about my gardening schedule. Wait, who am I kidding? February 2, whether a groundhog sees his shadow or not, is my official kick off my seasonal garden planning. C’mon spring! I’m ready to get my hands dirty!